You have a Democrat candidate who’s been running on ‘I’m going to undo the system’ when she’s right in the middle of rigging the electoral system in Alaska. This is not a Republican conspiracy theory, it’s in the New York Times that they said ‘so go out and find me everybody named Dan Sullivan that you can find.’
Scott Jennings (CNN on Friday)
Leading Democrats have spent years warning about threats to democracy, only to be outed for running a party-wide campaign to (1) conceal how they actually don’t protect elections, and (2) to willfully dilute the votes of U.S. citizens. On top of their deception scheme in Alaska, it is a fact that 6,600 non-citizens had been registered to vote in deep-blue New Jersey, and 400 non-citizens had been registered to vote in deep-blue Washington (source: The Washington Post).
And, if that’s not weird enough, Fox News reports that Virginia’s Democrat governor (Spanberger) just restored voting rights to a dog that has been dead for five years. Which is why I am so insouciant about these mid-terms; even if Democrats enjoy a (routine) anti-incumbent mid-term election, they will only misbehave themselves (say and do stupid sh*t) out of success in 2028.
The guess here is that Democrats win 223 or fewer House seats and no more than 50 Senate seats – a GOP victory in my view. That’s because, putting election integrity aside, the central political question today isn’t whether voters are satisfied with every aspect of the present moment. Nope, it’s whether they’re willing to return Democrats to full control of the government.
The latest CNBC poll cut straight to this Democrat problem. While Republicans are running on the defense of economic freedoms and against expansive left-wing policy proposals, the Democrats macro-promise is we will check Trump’s executive power. The long-term problem is obvious. In two years, Democrats will have lost their galvanizing issue, while Republicans will have gained actual evidence of blue-state mayhem and Democrat Socialist legislation.
In addition, CNBC’s poll identified the sleeper issue that spells doom for Democrats in 2028: government corruption, because 45% of independents, 40% of Democrats, and 29% of Republicans identify government corruption as the primary threat to America’s future. That’s right: corruption ranks as the #1 issue across political lines (despite legacy media’s fixation on the cost of food and groceries, which rank second behind institutional integrity).
Today, conservatives are the vanguard of the anti-corruption movement. But, in two years, independents and Clinton Democrats will have their eyes opened to the obvious: localized administrative failures, lax prosecution in major cities, a lack of oversight in state-level benefit distributions, and blue-state officials’ resistance to federal efforts to clean up voter rolls and audit mail-in distribution. Crooked, incompetent, and lazy is no way to win voters’ trust.
It’s the Economy, Stupid
Back to historical precedents; across the last 25 midterm election cycles, the president’s party has surrendered House seats 23 times and Senate seats 17 times. However, midterm swings are not the complete history. The true foundation of political strength is built on underlying economic performance; and on that front, history suggests a government divided between the executive branch and a closely contested Congress is secondary to a thriving U.S. economy. To wit…
In 1994, Bill Clinton lost 54 House seats, creating GOP control of Congress, and successfully pivoted to the center (compromised budget deals and welfare reform). What ensued was one of the longest economic expansions in U.S. history, fueled by a tech boom, low unemployment (dropping below 4%), real wage growth, and eventual federal budget surpluses. He easily won re-election in 1996.
In 2018, Donald Trump lost 40 seats (and control) in the House, which was followed by a robust economy; 3.5% unemployment (50-year low), accelerated wage growth (particularly for lower-income workers), consistently high consumer confidence, and the S&P 500 surging over 28% in 2019. But for COVID, Trump should have breezed to re-election.
Today, a similar structural foundation is quietly unfolding across the country, which will extend far beyond this electoral cycle; the physical economy is undergoing a massive re-shoring transformation. Capital investment in American manufacturing has reached unprecedented levels (see table below), the US trade deficit is shrinking, and employment and wages are in the sweet spot.
| MACRO-ECONOMIC INDICATOR | CURRENT REAL ECONOMY PERFORMANCE |
| Annual Non-Residential Fixed Investment | $4.7 Trillion (historic high) |
| US Total Exports (YTD) | Up 11.8% ($268 Billion) |
| Services Trade Surplus (Finance, IP, Tech) | $350 Billion (YTD) |
| Total Trade Deficit Reduction | Down 20% ($138 Billion) vs. 2025 |
| US Jobless Rate | Hovering below 4.2% |
| US Nominal Wage Growth | Holding at 3.6% to 3.9% |
This re-shoring momentum is backed by $2.42 trillion in high-value private investments and $210 billion in dedicated factory construction. Since Republican domestic manufacturing incentives took hold, domestic industrial announcements have targeted over 2 million manufacturing positions—with 1.7 million already filled and nearly 88% concentrated in high-tech fields averaging $112,000 in annual compensation (source: CNBC).
By mid-2026, this structural shift generated $3.17 trillion in domestic manufacturing value-added output. Bringing production back home is actively insulating the American supply chain, fostering wage expansion, and stabilizing purchasing power without triggering systemic job losses. If not by this Election Day, this much economic activity will boost every corner of America by November 2028. Put into perspective: $2.4 trillion in private investment in this year alone dwarfs Obama’s $840 billion stimulus that took ten years to roll out.
The “Least Risky” Choice
As election night unfolds, remember America’s macro-economic reality AND the Great Conservative Awakening sweeping over most of Europe and the Americas. What’s the more pressing issue: stopping Trump from building a new ballroom or preventing the violent protests now sweeping across Europe? I think we all know the answer.
What we don’t know is (1) how much of the US electorate has drunk the far-left KoolAid, and (2) how much Democrats have corrupted blue-city (Atlanta) and blue-state (California) elections, which is why I am watching four Senate races very closely.
Considering the three pathetic Democrat nominees, reasonable voters in Maine should NOT replace their long-serving and independent-acting senator, Susan Collins (R), patriotic voters in Michigan should NOT risk their state’s future on the likes of a far-left Islamunist, Abdulrahman Mohamed El-Sayed (D), and law-abiding Minnesotans should NOT reward Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan (D) – not after six years of mayhem in Minnesota.
If Alaska’s voters – after so much credible evidence of a damnable scheme by the Peltola (D) campaign to deceive voters – vote out their incumbent senator Dan Sullivan (R), it’s only going to drive Democrats to new lows in 2028. Not only is there an ongoing DOJ investigation in the matter, but a separate civil action has been filed to preserve and segregate all ballots that rank (fake) Dan Sullivan, and Alaska’s governor just announced a probe by the Alaska Division of Elections. If Alaskans are willing to be so easily deceived…let’s not go there, right?
I posted the Real Clear Politics latest prediction – a blue wave – above because I don’t trust the polls that go into their average. And after 2016 (Russia collusion), 2020 (Biden laptop), and 2024 (Biden’s mental acuity), what’s really on the mid-term ballot is whether everyday Americans trust today’s Democrat Party.
It’s just a hunch, but don’t be shocked if the Silent Majority that eschews pollsters turns Real Clear’s “blue wave” into a blue trickle. After the Democrat stunt in Alaska, that would be justice served.
Don’t forget to vote.