We had way fewer House seats than we should have if Democrats hadn’t aggressively gerrymandered, and illegal aliens weren’t counted in the census for purposes of apportioning congressional seats.
Vice President Vance (on NBC News)
California’s governor, Democrat Gavin Newsom, has some nerve accusing Republicans of trying to “rig” the mid-terms, when blue states don’t ask voters for identification and invented “ballot harvesting” (until Democrats get the desired election outcome). So, in response to Republicans taking up redistricting in Texas’s legislature, Newsom bypassed his state’s voter-mandated Independent Redistricting Commission and put a redistricting measure on the 2025 ballot. In response, Vice President Vance called out the Democrat Party to his NBC News host last Sunday:
“Ask yourself, why have Democrats gerrymandered their states aggressively over the past 10 to 20 years? Look, for example, at the popular vote in Massachusetts – with zero Republican federal representatives – where 32% of the residents voted for Republicans. So what we’re doing is trying to make the situation a little bit more fair on a national scale.”
What J.D. Vance has in mind are four “unfair election” issues that give Democrats more political power than to which they are democratically entitled: (1) extreme gerrymandering, (2) allowing illegal aliens to vote in federal elections, (3) counting illegal aliens as residents for apportionment purposes, and (4) the census over-count of blue states (e.g. CA) in 2020. To wit, in seven blue states (CT, HI, IL, MA, MD, OR, RI), Trump won 40% of the popular vote in 2024, but gerrymandering allowed Democrats to hold onto 89% of their state’s seats in Congress (49 of 55).
According to liberal Salon, Democrats now face a “gerrymandering Armageddon” without a “lot of good answers.” The online magazine predicts a “reapportionment apocalypse” that pushes them into a “minority for another decade.” According to Salon, Democrats don’t understand the depth of the gerrymander math. In the 15 states where they hold trifecta power, they’ve “maxed out” the district maps, while 23 states with Republican trifectas have yet to enact extreme gerrymandering. Salon predicts 10 new Republican “safe seats” that can’t be legally challenged (the Supreme Court has already ruled that “partisan gerrymandering is purely a political matter and not its problem”).
Republicans allege that Democrats have won the presidency by “cheating” in swing-state elections, and hogtied Congress by “cheating” in blue-state elections. As to the former, most Republicans view the 25.3% jump in Democrat swing-state votes from 2016 to 2020 (AZ, GA, MI, NV, NC, PA, WI) as implausible – especially after Harris-Walz fell back to earth in 2024. As to the latter, poll after poll shows Democrats have acted against the will of we the people.
This year, a New York Times poll found that 63% of American adults support deporting undocumented immigrants; so why did 17 of the 19 states won by Harris-Walz provide drivers licenses to illegal aliens in 2024? Right before the 2024 election, a Gallup poll found that 83% of Americans supported laws mandating proof of citizenship to vote, and 84% supported laws requiring photo identification to vote; so why did 14 of the 19 states won by Harris-Walz give divers licenses to undocumented immigrants AND not ask voters for a photo ID at the polls in 2024?
These are examples of Democrats supporting the 20% of 80-20 issues, begging the question – WHY? Hard to say for sure, but the result is that these 14 blue states (CA, DC, HI, IL, MD, MA, MN, NV, NJ, NM, NY, OR, VT, WA) have gerrymandered districts and operated elections to hold their state’s Republicans to measly representation in Congress; i.e. 28 of 158 possible House seats (17.7%), and 0 of 26 possible Senate seats (0.0%). Thus, the frustrating roadblocks to enacting the America First agenda in Congress.
Assuming Newsom can “redistrict” another five blue seats in the House, apportionment will still help the GOP in 2026. And that’s just the tip of the GOP spear. Democrats will face a “reapportionment apocalypse” between now and (first) the mid-terms and (next) the 2028 election.
It starts with the Defense of Citizenship that is going on right now. You might feel empathy for the illegals doing your lawn care, but there are millions of working-class US citizens that know illegal aliens suppress local wages. So, as you watch the ICE arrests on TV and wonder “who’s going to do” the work, there are millions of your fellow Americans cheering on those ICE agents. As of Labor Day, DHS reports 1.6 million “illegal aliens” have self-deported, USCB reports 1.2 million “undocumented immigrants” have left the US workforce, and ICE reports 200,000 “criminal illegal aliens” have been deported.
These non-citizen subtractions will show show up in the 2025 mid-decade census, when Republicans hope to add the “citizenship” question. Maybe, but that’s not as important as exposing the 2020 over-counts in blue states like California and under-counts in red states like Florida, and correcting state populations for every American to see. From 2020 to 2024, three blue states (CA, IL, NY) lost 534,000 residents, and eight red states (FL, GA, ID, NC, SC, TN, TX, UT) gained 6,300,000 residents. This translates to a gain of 9 new “re-apportioned” Republican seats (in 2031).
Moreover, Democrats are on the outs with voters. In July, the Wall Street Journal reported “63% of voters disapprove of the Democrat Party, and only 33% approve.” This is corroborated by the party’s loss of 2,260,000 registered members since the 2020 election (source: DNC). Meanwhile the Republican Party has registered 2,600,000 new members. The point of all of these bad-for-Democrat numbers is that the US electorate won’t believe blue-state election results – and why should they?
If there are 4,860,000 fewer Democrat registrations than Republican nationwide…if there are 6,834,000 fewer blue-state than red-state residents…if there are ever-decreasing numbers of illegal aliens (who might vote)…if red states take up extreme gerrymandering…then there is simply no way Democrats prevail in 2026 (unless the US falls into a deep recession with low employment and asset prices).
So, let Gavin Newsom threaten “fire with fire” because most Americans know which party first destroyed the integrity of their elections. Let him match Donald Trump word for word, because the raw numbers are lined up against Newsom and his party.